
method to prepare a business plan (see Introduction), you need to read and complete this section of Chapter 6: As you begin dealing with all the details inherent in financial projections, it is easy to lose perspective and forget the larger picture-that is, what all your work is supposed to prove. If this happens, pause for a moment and remember that, for yourself and your potential backers, youre simply figuring out: how much money you need what you will spend it on, and how you will pay it back. B. What Is a Profit and Loss Forecast? A profit and loss forecast is a projection of how much you will sell and how much profit you will make. This is the foundation of your business plan. It gives you and your potential backers the basic information necessary to decide whether your business will succeed. Basically, a profit and loss forecast forces you to estimate how many dollars you will take in and how many dollars you will spend for some future period. While other extremely important factors affect your business, such as your cash flow (youll be in good shape if you can confidently predict that the money coming in will exceed the money going out by a healthy margin. In you completed a rough break-even analysis for your business. That analysis helped you decide whether you chose the right business. Now we are going to take a closer look at those numbers and develop them into a comprehensive forecast of your business future profits. (If you did not complete or dont remember the work you did then, review F, before you read ahead.) Your business profits result from three specific dollar figures: Sales revenue. This is all the money you take into your business each month, week or year. It is also called "gross sales," "sales income" or simply "sales." Cost of sales. This is your direct cost of the product or service you sell. Sometimes it is called "direct product cost," "variable cost," "incremental cost" or "direct cost." Fixed expenses. These are sometimes called "overhead," and you must pay them regardless of how well you do. Fixed expenses dont vary much from month to month. They include rent, insurance and other set expenses. They are also called "fixed costs," "operating expenses," "expenses" or "discretionary costs" (discussed in). In a given period, you make profits when sales revenues exceed your total cost of sales and fixed expenses. To put it another way, sales revenue minus both cost of sales and fixed expenses equals profits and/or losses for a given time period. Our job here is to examine closely all the above numbers and, once you are convinced they are